Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Metz had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Metz |
39.17% | 27.52% | 33.31% |
Both teams to score 48.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.32% | 56.68% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.36% | 77.64% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.81% | 28.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.11% | 63.89% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.18% | 31.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.74% | 68.26% |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 11.36% 2-1 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.82% Total : 39.17% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 8.97% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 7.45% 0-2 @ 5.88% 1-3 @ 2.84% 0-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.82% Total : 33.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |