Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 74.35%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Metz had a probability of 9.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.72%) and 3-0 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Metz |
74.35% | 16.22% | 9.42% |
Both teams to score 46.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.88% | 40.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.5% | 62.5% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.75% | 9.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.73% | 31.27% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.28% | 48.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.25% | 83.75% |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Metz |
2-0 @ 12.77% 1-0 @ 10.72% 3-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 9.18% 3-1 @ 7.29% 4-0 @ 6.03% 4-1 @ 4.34% 5-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.62% 5-1 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.56% 6-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.62% Total : 74.34% | 1-1 @ 7.72% 0-0 @ 4.51% 2-2 @ 3.3% Other @ 0.7% Total : 16.22% | 0-1 @ 3.24% 1-2 @ 2.77% 0-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.24% Total : 9.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |