Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 68.19%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Angers had a probability of 12.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Angers |
68.19% ( -0.41) | 19.05% ( 0.18) | 12.76% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 48.54% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.26% ( -0.27) | 43.74% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.87% ( -0.27) | 66.13% ( 0.27) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.21% ( -0.19) | 11.79% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63% ( -0.4) | 37% ( 0.4) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.03% ( 0.19) | 44.97% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.09% ( 0.15) | 80.91% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Angers |
2-0 @ 12.11% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.76% 5-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 68.18% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.82% Total : 19.05% | 0-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.22% Total : 12.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |