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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Apr 14, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Atlanta
2 - 2
Philadelphia

Rios (55'), Wiley (63')
Almada (25'), Muyumba (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Uhre (73'), Wagner (77')
Carranza (21'), Gazdag (35'), Andres Martinez (35'), Wagner (75'), McGlynn (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, April 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-1 Philadelphia Union

If Giakoumakis does not feature, it will be a blow for the home side, however they have plenty of attacking pieces to count upon besides the Greek, and we believe they will find a way to get the job done. All good things must come to an end, and although the Union will likely keep this match close, we expect to see a fast-paced game on the artificial turf, which should favour the Five Stripes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
52.11% (-0.134 -0.13) 23.02% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 24.87% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 58.14% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.7% (0.094999999999999 0.09)42.29% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.3% (0.093999999999994 0.09)64.7% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.72% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)16.28% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.16% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)45.84% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.45% (0.154 0.15)30.55% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.23% (0.183 0.18)66.77% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 52.11%
    Philadelphia Union 24.87%
    Draw 23.02%
Atlanta UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.03% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.19% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.96% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.25% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 52.11%
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.02%
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.025 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.5% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 24.87%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Philadelphia

Atlanta United
45.5%
Draw
18.2%
Philadelphia Union
36.4%
11
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
3-2
Atlanta
Gazdag (39'), Uhre (41'), Carranza (45+3')
Elliott (34'), Sullivan (66'), Andres Martinez (75'), Harriel (81')
Almada (56' pen.), Mosquera (77')
Thiare (75')
Jul 2, 2023 9pm
Atlanta
2-0
Philadelphia
Almada (7'), Lennon (79')
Sejdic (70'), Ibarra (75')

Harriel (4'), Carranza (47'), Uhre (65'), Torres (90+3')
Sep 1, 2022 12am
Philadelphia
4-1
Atlanta
Carranza (18'), Uhre (45+3'), Gazdag (67'), Harriel (90+5')
Gutman (24')
Sep 25, 2021 8.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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