Major League Soccer

Mar 31, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Bold Stadium

Austin
2 - 1
Dallas

Cascante (54'), Rubio (70')
Wolff (20'), Wolff (24'), Rubio (58'), Cascante (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ansah (51')
Paes (19'), Burgess (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 2-0 Austin
Saturday, March 23 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Dallas

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Dallas 1-3 Vancouver
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

With both teams left disappointed by their slow starts to the campaign and desperate for a win over Texan rivals, we anticipate a tight encounter in Austin on Sunday and cannot quite pick a winner, instead seeing a share of the points as the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Dallas
44.23% ( -0.12)	25.47% ( -0.04)	30.3% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 54.28% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.64% (

0.22)

49.36% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.59% (

0.2)

71.4% (

-0.2)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.73% (

0.04)

22.27% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.28% (

0.05)

55.72% (

-0.05)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.83% (

0.23)

30.17% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.68% (

0.27)

66.32% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 44.23%

Dallas 30.3%

Draw 25.47%

Austin FC	Draw	Dallas
1-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 44.23%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 30.3%