Major League Soccer

Mar 10, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Bold Stadium

Austin
2 - 2
St Louis City

Hedges (14'), Cascante (51')
Cascante (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lowen (49' pen.), Pompeu (90+3')
Pompeu (31'), Parker (61'), Totland (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Seattle 0-0 Austin
Sunday, March 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

St Louis City

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: St Louis City 2-0 NY City
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Austin FC 1-3 St Louis City

St Louis City have had the better of Austin FC in both the previous meetings between these two sides, scoring a massive nine goals in just two games. We expect the hosts to continue this record against their upcoming opponents with another big victory at the Q2 Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 66.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 14.38%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	St Louis City
66.33% ( 0.14)	19.29% ( -0.06)	14.38% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 52.32% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.92% (

0.14)

41.08% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.53% (

0.14)

63.47% (

-0.14)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.48% (

0.08)

11.52% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.58% (

0.17)

36.42% (

-0.17)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.13% (

-0.02)

40.87% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.56% (

-0.01)

77.44% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 66.33%

St Louis City 14.38%

Draw 19.29%

Austin FC	Draw	St Louis City
2-0 @ 10.99% 1-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.83% Total : 66.33%	1-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.29%	0-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 14.38%