Major League Soccer

Feb 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK

CityPark

St Louis City
1 - 1
Salt Lake

Adeniran (79')
Pompeu (24')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Arango (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: St Louis City 2-1 Houston
Wednesday, February 21 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Miami 2-0 Salt Lake
Thursday, February 22 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: St Louis City 2-2 Real Salt Lake

The previous two meetings between Sunday's opponents have yielded a combined eight goals, and we expect another entertaining affair here. That said, we are also backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
St Louis City	Draw	Real Salt Lake
44.69% ( 0.39)	24.46% ( 0.1)	30.85% ( -0.49)

Both teams to score 57.97% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.33% (

-0.68)

44.67% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.97% (

-0.66)

67.03% (

0.67)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.89% (

-0.11)

20.11% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.64% (

-0.17)

52.37% (

0.18)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.56% (

-0.65)

27.45% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.07% (

-0.86)

62.93% (

0.86)

Score Analysis

St Louis City 44.69%

Real Salt Lake 30.85%

Draw 24.46%

St Louis City	Draw	Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.92% Total : 44.69%	1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.46%	1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.94% Total : 30.85%