Major League Soccer

Oct 29, 2023 at 10pm UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

Houston
2 - 1
Salt Lake

Herrera (22'), Bassi (79')
Escobar (90+5'), Carrasquilla (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Luna (54')
Oviedo (44'), Julio (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Portland 1-3 Houston
Sunday, October 22 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: Colorado 0-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, October 22 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Houston Dynamo 2-0 Real Salt Lake

If we were to go off playoff experience, RSL would have the edge. However, Olsen has brought a much-needed sense of poise with this team in 2023, and we believe the Dynamo workhorses in the midfield will allow them to be on the front foot throughout this encounter.

How to watch

You can watch Houston Dynamo vs. Real Salt Lake and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 57.49%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 20.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Houston Dynamo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Houston Dynamo.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Real Salt Lake
57.49% ( 0.13)	21.61% ( -0.04)	20.89% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 57.75% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.6% (

0.04)

40.4% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.22% (

0.05)

62.78% (

-0.05)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.15% (

0.05)

13.85% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.78% (

0.11)

41.22% (

-0.12)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.03% (

-0.07)

32.97% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.45% (

-0.07)

69.55% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 57.49%

Real Salt Lake 20.89%

Draw 21.61%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.28% Total : 57.49%	1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.61%	1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 20.89%