Major League Soccer

Oct 8, 2023 at 2.30am UK

Rio Tinto Stadium

Salt Lake
2 - 3
Kansas

Vera (81'), Savarino (89')
Vera (57'), MacMath (90+7')
Glad (3')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Thommy (4'), Russell (29'), Pulido (77')
Radoja (38'), Melia (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: Los Angeles 0-1 Salt Lake
Monday, October 2 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 4-1 Kansas
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Real Salt Lake 1-1 Sporting Kansas City

Real Salt Lake already know their place in the playoffs is secured, but Mastroeni's men will not be resting on their laurels as they seek to seal home-field advantage in the post-season. Sporting KC are running out of opportunities to string wins together this term, and we feel that the visitors at America First Field will only be good enough for a point.

How to watch

You can watch Real Salt Lake vs. Sporting Kansas City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 55.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Real Salt Lake	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
55.75% ( 0.59)	22.39% ( -0.21)	21.85% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 56.51% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.28% (

0.47)

42.71% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.88% (

0.47)

65.11% (

-0.48)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.81% (

0.36)

15.18% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.19% (

0.68)

43.8% (

-0.68)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.62% (

-0.09)

33.37% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30% (

-0.09)

69.99% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Real Salt Lake 55.75%

Sporting Kansas City 21.85%

Draw 22.39%

Real Salt Lake	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.75% Total : 55.75%	1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.39%	1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.28% Total : 21.85%