Major League Soccer

Nov 5, 2023 at 10pm UK

Children's Mercy Park

Kansas
2 - 1
St Louis City

Ndenbe (45+1'), Salloi (73')
Pulido (42'), Ndenbe (69'), Rosero (81'), Espinoza (90+14')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pompeu (86')
Lowen (23'), Parker (32'), Hiebert (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 1-4 Kansas
Monday, October 30 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

St Louis City

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 1-4 Kansas
Monday, October 30 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sporting Kansas City 2-2 St Louis City (Sporting Kansas City wins on penalties)

We believe St Louis will put up a fight in this must-win game, but this team look overwhelmed and uncertain in big moments, while the experience of SKC in these pressure situations seems to have given them a leg up on their competitors.

How to watch

You can watch Sporting Kansas City vs. St Louis City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 12.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 1-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	St Louis City
70.15% ( -0)	17.51% ( -0)	12.34%

Both teams to score 52.68% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.35% (

37.65% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.11% (

59.89% (

-0.01)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.38% (

-0)

9.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.87% (

-0)

32.12% (

-0)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.28% (

-0)

41.72% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.81% (

78.19% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 70.14%

St Louis City 12.34%

Draw 17.51%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	St Louis City
2-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.62% 1-0 @ 9.39% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.59% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.51% 4-0 @ 5.03% 4-1 @ 4.4% 3-2 @ 3.28% 5-0 @ 2.36% 5-1 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.92% 6-0 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 4.09% Total : 70.14%	1-1 @ 8.21% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.2% 0-0 @ 4.01% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.51%	1-2 @ 3.59% 0-1 @ 3.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 1.23% 1-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.44% Total : 12.34%