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Charlotte FC
Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Bank of America Stadium
Nashville

Charlotte FC
1 - 0
Nashville

Agyemang (52')
Vargas (76'), Smalls (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Boyd (22'), Lovitz (56'), Davis (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Charlotte FC and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-0 Portland
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 4-1 Montreal
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Charlotte FC 1-1 Nashville SC

Nashville's struggle to keep clean sheets could prove to be problematic against Charlotte, but captain Zimmerman could be key to marshalling their defence. On the other hand, Charlotte have had difficulties in front of goal, and it remains to be seen whether their recent increased output is reflective of genuine, sustained improvement under Dean Smith. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Charlotte FC in this match.

Result
Charlotte FCDrawNashville SC
47.15% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06) 25.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 27.46% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.74% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.47% (0.009999999999998 0.01)50.53% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.55% (0.0089999999999968 0.01)72.45% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)21.44% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.55% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)54.45% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.13% (0.046999999999997 0.05)32.87% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.56% (0.049999999999997 0.05)69.44% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Charlotte FC 47.15%
    Nashville SC 27.46%
    Draw 25.39%
Charlotte FCDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 10.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.36% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.29% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 47.15%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 7.84% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.46%

How you voted: Charlotte FC vs Nashville

Charlotte FC
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Nashville SC
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 12.30am
Nashville
2-1
Charlotte FC
Surridge (32'), Muyl (40')
Maher (55')
Dejaegere (45+4')
Tavares (55'), Byrne (57'), Privett (81')
Sep 3, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
1-1
Charlotte FC
Williams (90+8' pen.)
Williams (26'), McCarty (56'), Godoy (73'), Bunbury (90+2')
Arfield (90+3')
Jones (27'), Malanda (89'), Byrne (90+6')
May 21, 2023 12.30am
Charlotte FC
1-2
Nashville
Bronico (6')
Byrne (11'), Bronico (54')
Williams (39', 90+3')
Bunbury (34'), McCarty (69')
Jul 10, 2022 12am
Charlotte FC
4-1
Nashville
Fuchs (26' pen.), Swiderski (61'), Ruiz (89'), Shinyashiki (90+1')
Williams (67' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls178542923629
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1541101227-1513

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd168532821729
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland185673232021
10Seattle SoundersSeattle174672021-118
11St Louis City163942325-218
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas173592632-614
13Dallas163581825-714
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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