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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Oct 21, 2023 at 11pm UK
Nippert Stadium
Atlanta United

Cincinnati
2 - 2
Atlanta

Badji (25'), Acosta (45+2')
Miazga (73')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Giakoumakis (12', 32')
Almada (36'), Thiare (85')
Almada (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 1-1 Columbus Crew
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 3-1 Atlanta United

FC Cincinnati have established themselves as the best team of the regular season but will still be looking to lay down a marker ahead of the playoffs. We can see them coming up on top in what should be a fairly one-sided affair.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. Atlanta United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 53.67%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawAtlanta United
53.67% (0.169 0.17) 22.71% (0.319 0.32) 23.62% (-0.488 -0.49)
Both teams to score 57.77% (-1.705 -1.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.87% (-1.987 -1.99)42.13% (1.986 1.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.47% (-2.021 -2.02)64.53% (2.02 2.02)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.32% (-0.643 -0.64)15.68% (0.643 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.27% (-1.204 -1.2)44.73% (1.204 1.2)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.51% (-1.488 -1.49)31.48% (1.487 1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.13% (-1.759 -1.76)67.87% (1.757 1.76)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 53.67%
    Atlanta United 23.62%
    Draw 22.71%
FC CincinnatiDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.601 0.6)
2-0 @ 8.47% (0.378 0.38)
3-1 @ 6.05% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-0 @ 5.23% (0.12 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.212 -0.21)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.137 -0.14)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 53.67%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.28 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 4.94% (0.426 0.43)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.142 -0.14)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.71%
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
0-1 @ 5.71% (0.274 0.27)
0-2 @ 3.3% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 23.62%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Atlanta

FC Cincinnati
77.8%
Draw
22.2%
Atlanta United
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
Aug 14, 2022 12.30am
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Atlanta
0-0
Cincinnati
Almada (8'), Sejdic (42'), Campbell (84')
Hagglund (44'), Kubo (45'), Badji (90+4')
Hagglund (77')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 43
Cincinnati
1-2
Atlanta
Bailey (21')
Stanko (33'), Matarrita (88')
Robinson (70'), Martinez (79')
Hernandez (64'), Araujo (86')
Sep 16, 2021 12am
Gameweek 32
Atlanta
4-0
Cincinnati
Araujo (5'), Martinez (40', 55'), Barco (86')
Mo (73'), Wolff (90+1')

Brenner (39'), Castillo (45'), Matarrita (54'), Vazquez (79'), Duvall (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami16104238211734
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1510322314933
3New York City FCNY City158251916326
4Columbus Crew146622113824
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156451413122
7Toronto157172424022
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia144642521418
9DC United154652125-418
10Nashville SCNashville143741720-316
11Orlando City144461522-716
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471717013
13CF MontrealMontreal143471731-1413
14Chicago Fire152581427-1311
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1585230171329
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd137422417725
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy156722722525
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles147342519624
5Austin FCAustin156542018223
6Colorado RapidsColorado156452726122
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver145452017319
8Houston DynamoHouston145361315-218
9Seattle SoundersSeattle154561818017
10Portland TimbersPortland154472830-216
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas133461620-413
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas142572226-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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