Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 53.67%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Atlanta United |
53.67% ( 0.17) | 22.71% ( 0.32) | 23.62% ( -0.49) |
Both teams to score 57.77% ( -1.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.87% ( -1.99) | 42.13% ( 1.99) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.47% ( -2.02) | 64.53% ( 2.02) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.32% ( -0.64) | 15.68% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.27% ( -1.2) | 44.73% ( 1.2) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.51% ( -1.49) | 31.48% ( 1.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.13% ( -1.76) | 67.87% ( 1.76) |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Atlanta United |
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.6) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.6% Total : 53.67% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.43) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.71% Total : 23.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
5 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Toronto | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 18 |
9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Orlando City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 11 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 25 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 18 |
9 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 16 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 11 |