Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 57.89%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
57.89% ( -1.17) | 20.89% ( 0.24) | 21.22% ( 0.94) |
Both teams to score 60.88% ( 0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.47% ( 0.18) | 36.54% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.32% ( 0.2) | 58.68% ( -0.19) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.53% ( -0.27) | 12.47% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.56% ( -0.58) | 38.44% ( 0.58) |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.55% ( 0.97) | 30.45% ( -0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.35% ( 1.13) | 66.66% ( -1.13) |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.25) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 2.1% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.08) Other @ 4.12% Total : 57.89% | 1-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.89% | 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.84% Total : 21.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 13 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 29 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 14 |
13 | Dallas | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 14 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |