Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 59.47%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 20.33% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 1-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (5.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Portland Timbers |
59.47% ( 0.44) | 20.19% ( -0.18) | 20.33% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 62.03% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.59% ( 0.54) | 34.41% ( -0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.68% ( 0.6) | 56.32% ( -0.6) |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.63% ( 0.29) | 11.37% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.91% ( 0.62) | 36.08% ( -0.61) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.98% ( 0.09) | 30.02% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.86% ( 0.1) | 66.14% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Portland Timbers |
2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 59.47% | 1-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.19% | 1-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 20.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |