Major League Soccer

Apr 24, 2022 at 3am UK

Buck Shaw Stadium

Earthquakes
4 - 3
Seattle

Espinoza (45+2', 64', 90+4' pen.), Yueill (65')
Cardoso (11'), Remedi (67'), Calvo (67')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Lodeiro (14' pen.), Roldan (20'), Morris (57')
Vargas (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Seattle Sounders

Last Six:

Last Game: Seattle 2-1 Charlotte FC
Monday, May 30 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Next Game: Seattle vs. Vancouver
Wednesday, June 15 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Vancouver Whitecaps	14	-1	17
6	Seattle Sounders	12	-1	16
7	Portland Timbers	15	-4	15

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Seattle Sounders

We think that if Seattle Sounders rest key players once again that three points at the weekend may be out of their reach, and with the last three of San Jose's MLS home games ending all square, we think that another draw will be played out on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 53.19%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Seattle Sounders
53.19%	22.83%	23.97%

Both teams to score 57.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.68%

42.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.27%

64.73%

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.09%

15.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.84%

45.16%

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.71%

31.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.35%

67.65%

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 53.19%

Seattle Sounders 23.97%

Draw 22.83%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Seattle Sounders
2-1 @ 9.77% 1-0 @ 9.15% 2-0 @ 8.41% 3-1 @ 5.99% 3-0 @ 5.15% 3-2 @ 3.48% 4-1 @ 2.75% 4-0 @ 2.37% 4-2 @ 1.6% 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.51% Total : 53.19%	1-1 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 5.68% 0-0 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.83%	1-2 @ 6.18% 0-1 @ 5.79% 0-2 @ 3.36% 1-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.76% Total : 23.97%