Major League Soccer

May 15, 2022 at 12am UK

Empire Field

Vancouver
3 - 3
Earthquakes

Cavallini (52'), Raposo (75'), Godoy (90+1')
Godoy (5'), Teibert (14'), Dajome (38')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Monteiro (62'), Ebobisse (73', 81')
Cardoso (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 3-2 San Jose Earthquakes

The Caps may have caught a break with that disallowed goal a week ago, but that was perhaps their best performance of the season as they looked more dangerous going forward and created some effective pressing and counterattacks. Things have looked a lot better in San Jose, but this team still seem to struggle on the road and are often caught out of position defensively, while appearing overwhelmed when marching into foreign territory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
47.78%	25.31%	26.9%

Both teams to score 52.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.45%

50.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.53%

72.46%

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.83%

21.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.96%

54.03%

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.68%

33.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.07%

69.93%

Score Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps 47.78%

San Jose Earthquakes 26.9%

Draw 25.3%

Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 10.94% 2-1 @ 9.34% 2-0 @ 8.5% 3-1 @ 4.84% 3-0 @ 4.4% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.48% Total : 47.78%	1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 7.05% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.3%	0-1 @ 7.75% 1-2 @ 6.62% 0-2 @ 4.26% 1-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.41% Total : 26.9%