MX23RW : Wednesday, May 29 04:36:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Famalicao logo

Arouca
3 - 2
Famalicao

Sylla (33'), Cristo (45+1'), Mujica (64')
Jason (45'), Mujica (54')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Cadiz (12'), Sa (56')
Youssouf (38'), Vinicios (44'), Mihaj (61'), Riccieli (75'), Cadiz (86'), Aranda (90+9')
Luis Rodriguez (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-0 Arouca
Sunday, February 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 2-1 Rio Ave
Friday, February 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 2-1 Famalicao

While Famalicao did manage to claim a much-needed morale-boosting victory last weekend, they have struggled on the road, winning just twice in 11 away games this term. Arouca, on the other hand, have won three of their last four on home soil, and we feel they will be able to edge this one as well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
AroucaDrawFamalicao
32.26% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 26.62% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 41.12% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.43% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.59% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)53.41% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.06% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)74.94% (0.044999999999987 0.04)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.13% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)30.87% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.84% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)67.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)25.6% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)60.48% (0.055 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 32.26%
    Famalicao 41.11%
    Draw 26.62%
AroucaDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.46% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.26%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 7.9% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 10.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 41.11%

How you voted: Arouca vs Famalicao

Arouca
78.6%
Draw
14.3%
Famalicao
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 6
Famalicao
1-0
Arouca
Otavio (28')
Otavio (16'), Riccieli (39'), Aranda (45+1'), Aguirregabiria (51')
Riccieli (57')

Jason (20'), Galovic (64')
Mujica (77'), Ramos (90+5')
Apr 3, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 26
Famalicao
0-1
Arouca
Sylla (90+3' pen.)
Oct 10, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 9
Arouca
4-1
Famalicao
Bukia (30'), Sylla (52'), Antony (58'), Dabbagh (84')
Jan 31, 2022 9.15pm
Gameweek 20
Famalicao
0-0
Arouca
Alex (75'), Marin (90+6')
Basso (37'), Bukia (54'), Esgaio (59')
Aug 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 3
Arouca
2-1
Famalicao
Basso (66' pen.), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (89')
Manuel da Silva Moreira (57'), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (77'), Correa dos Santos (90+2'), Filipe Alves Araujo (90+5')
Rodrigues (23')
Jose Gomes Oliveira Tavares (31'), Batubinsika (47'), Miguel Lapa Ricardo (79'), Assuncao (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34293296296790
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto34226663273672
4Braga34215871502168
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense34167113635155
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3496194958-933
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3458213172-4123


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