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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2024 at 2pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Napoli logo

Cagliari
1 - 1
Napoli

Luvumbo (90+6')
Lapadula (36'), Luvumbo (48'), Nandez (68'), Deiola (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Osimhen (65')
Olivera (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Cagliari
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, February 21 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Cagliari 1-2 Napoli

After grinding out a draw with Barcelona, having both a new boss and star striker Victor Osimhen back in the fold should help Napoli to overcome Cagliari once again. The hosts have been unstable defensively, so even the champions' goal-shy attack can thrive on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
CagliariDrawNapoli
28.47% (0.050999999999998 0.05) 25.31% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 46.22% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 53.72% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.42% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)49.59% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.39% (-0.041 -0.04)71.61% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (0.016000000000005 0.02)31.6% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99% (0.015999999999998 0.02)68.01% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.54% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)21.46% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.51% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)54.49% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 28.47%
    Napoli 46.21%
    Draw 25.31%
CagliariDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 7.81% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.93% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.5% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.66% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.05%
3-0 @ 1.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 28.47%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.78% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 10.43%
1-2 @ 9.25% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.03% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.75% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.83% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.59% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 46.21%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Napoli

Cagliari
20.0%
Draw
10.0%
Napoli
70.0%
70
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Napoli
2-1
Cagliari
Osimhen (69'), Kvaratskhelia (75')
Osimhen (45'), Rrahmani (45+4'), Rui (85'), Politano (88'), Zambo Anguissa (90+1')
Pavoletti (72')
Goldaniga (45+2'), Pavoletti (45+2'), Augello (63')
Feb 21, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 26
Cagliari
1-1
Napoli
Pereiro (58')
Pedro (35')
Osimhen (87')
Malcuit (42'), Koulibaly (64')
Sep 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Napoli
2-0
Cagliari
Osimhen (11'), Insigne (57' pen.)
Osimhen (66'), Elmas (76')
May 2, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 34
Napoli
1-1
Cagliari
Osimhen (13')
Demme (56')
Nandez (90+4')
Godin (32'), Deiola (34'), Pavoletti (46')
Jan 3, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 15
Cagliari
1-4
Napoli
Pedro (60')
Lykogiannis (30'), Sottil (53'), Caligara (85')
Lykogiannis (65')
Zielinski (25', 62'), Lozano (74'), Insigne (86' pen.)
Zielinski (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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