Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Torino |
39.76% | 24.88% | 35.35% |
Both teams to score 58.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.73% | 45.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.39% | 67.61% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.34% | 22.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.71% | 56.29% |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75% | 25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.34% | 59.66% |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Torino |
2-1 @ 8.66% 1-0 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-0 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.76% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.88% | 1-2 @ 8.08% 0-1 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 5.44% 1-3 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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