Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Roma in this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Roma |
30.15% | 24.59% | 45.26% |
Both teams to score 57.15% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.43% | 45.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.1% | 67.89% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.64% | 28.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.91% | 64.09% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.77% | 20.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.44% | 52.56% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 7.28% 1-0 @ 7.23% 2-0 @ 4.56% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.71% Total : 30.15% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 5.74% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.58% | 1-2 @ 9.23% 0-1 @ 9.17% 0-2 @ 7.32% 1-3 @ 4.92% 0-3 @ 3.9% 2-3 @ 3.1% 1-4 @ 1.96% 0-4 @ 1.56% 2-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.86% Total : 45.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |