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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Lecce logo

Napoli
1 - 1
Lecce

Elmas (27')
Politano (13')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Colombo (31')
Hjulmand (33'), Colombo (40'), Gonzalez (90+7'), Gendrey (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-0 Napoli
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 1-0 Lecce

Despite their lack of points, Lecce have proved tough enough to withstand pressure and have not lost by more than a one-goal margin. If Napoli opt to rotate their resources, a new-look XI may take a while to gel - but their class in the final third should get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 15.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawLecce
64.16% (-0.271 -0.27) 20.34% (0.156 0.16) 15.5% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 51.55% (-0.241 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.48% (-0.46400000000001 -0.46)43.52% (0.462 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.09% (-0.455 -0.45)65.91% (0.45400000000001 0.45)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)12.85% (0.218 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.78% (-0.45 -0.45)39.22% (0.449 0.45)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.15% (-0.129 -0.13)40.85% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.58% (-0.115 -0.12)77.42% (0.114 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 64.16%
    Lecce 15.5%
    Draw 20.34%
NapoliDrawLecce
2-0 @ 11.05% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 10.77% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.56% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.77% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.88% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.59% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.42% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 64.16%
1-1 @ 9.64% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.25% (0.106 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 20.34%
0-1 @ 4.7% (0.078 0.08)
1-2 @ 4.32% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.1% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 15.5%

How you voted: Napoli vs Lecce

Napoli
88.3%
Draw
8.3%
Lecce
3.3%
120
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2020 2pm
Napoli
2-3
Lecce
Milik (48'), Callejon (90')
Koulibaly (37'), Zielinski (57'), Milik (73'), Rui (80'), Demme (84')
Lapadula (29', 61'), Mancosu (82')
Rispoli (66'), Vigorito (78'), Petriccione (85')
Sep 22, 2019 2pm
Lecce
1-4
Napoli
Mancosu (61' pen.)
Tachtsidis (37'), Gabriel (38'), Tabanelli (49')
Llorente (28', 82'), Insigne (40' pen.), Fabian (52')
Ghoulam (22'), Elmas (45'), Fabian (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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