Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.68%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.98%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-0 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Fiorentina |
19.3% ( -0.18) | 24.02% ( 0.09) | 56.68% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 47.58% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.32% ( -0.57) | 52.68% ( 0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.68% ( -0.49) | 74.32% ( 0.49) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.32% ( -0.54) | 41.67% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.85% ( -0.47) | 78.15% ( 0.47) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.57% ( -0.18) | 18.43% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.41% ( -0.3) | 49.59% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.99% Total : 19.3% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.01% | 0-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 10.98% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 6.19% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.42% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.19% Total : 56.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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