Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 25

Mar 5, 2023 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia
0 - 0
Hellas Verona

Reca (89'), Zurkowski (90+5')
Marchetti (82')

Terracciano (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions

Last Game: Udinese 2-2 Spezia
Sunday, February 26 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-3 Fiorentina
Monday, February 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Spezia 1-1 Hellas Verona

Spezia (six) and Verona (five) are among the three lowest-scoring teams in the second half of Serie A matches this term. The Aquilotti are also the only side yet to score via a substitute; Hellas have netted only once through their subs - and not since August. A tight draw could be on the cards, then, with either side unable to change the game and take three precious points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Hellas Verona
34.64% ( -0.79)	26.23% ( 0.15)	39.13% ( 0.65)

Both teams to score 53.29% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.71% (

-0.71)

51.29% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.88% (

-0.62)

73.12% (

0.62)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.72% (

-0.82)

28.28% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36% (

-1.05)

64% (

1.05)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.31% (

0.03)

25.69% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.39% (

0.03)

60.6% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Spezia 34.64%

Hellas Verona 39.13%

Draw 26.23%

Spezia	Draw	Hellas Verona
1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.64%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.23%	0-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.43% Total : 39.13%