Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Spezia |
45.77% ( -0.01) | 26.31% ( 0) | 27.91% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 50.24% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.06% ( -0.01) | 53.94% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.61% ( -0) | 75.38% ( 0) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.49% ( -0.01) | 23.51% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.45% ( -0.01) | 57.55% ( 0.01) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.68% ( -0) | 34.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.98% ( -0) | 71.02% |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Spezia |
1-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.76% Total : 45.76% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.24% Total : 27.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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