Serie B | Gameweek 37

May 13, 2023 at 1pm UK

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia
3 - 2
Perugia

Pierini (26'), Carboni (42'), Egill Ellertsson (60')
Hristov (75')
Vanoli (46')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Luperini (64'), Casasola (78' pen.)
Curado (45'), Santoro (80'), Kouan (90+1')
Casasola (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Venezia and Perugia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezia

All competitions

Last Game: Cosenza 1-1 Venezia
Saturday, May 6 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Perugia

All competitions

Last Game: Perugia 0-5 Cagliari
Friday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 51.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Perugia had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Perugia win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.

Result
Venezia	Draw	Perugia
51.15% ( -0.31)	24.95% ( 0.11)	23.9% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 50.87% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.59% (

-0.27)

51.41% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.77% (

-0.24)

73.23% (

0.24)

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.9% (

-0.23)

20.1% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.65% (

-0.37)

52.35% (

0.38)

Perugia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.67% (

0.03)

36.33% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.89% (

0.03)

73.11% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Venezia 51.15%

Perugia 23.9%

Draw 24.94%

Venezia	Draw	Perugia
1-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 51.15%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.94%	0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.84% Total : 23.9%