Famalicao

4 - 1

Belenenses

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 20.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.