Under-20s World Cup | Group Stage

May 28, 2023 at 7pm UK

Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Iraq U20s
0 - 0
England U20s

Mahdi (45+5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Under-20s World Cup Group Stage clash between Iraq Under-20s and England Under-20s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iraq Under-20s

Last Game: Iraq U20s 0-3 Tunisia U20s
Thursday, May 25 at 10pm in Under-20 World Cup

England Under-20s

All competitions

Last Game: Uruguay U20s 2-3 England U20s
Thursday, May 25 at 7pm in Under-20 World Cup

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan Under-22s	3	5	6
2	Portugal Under-19s	3	1	6
3	Chile Under-21s	3	-3	6
4	England Under-20s	3	-3	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Under-20s win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Iraq Under-20s had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a England Under-20s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.46%) and 0-2 (5.39%). The likeliest Iraq Under-20s win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Iraq Under-20s	Draw	England Under-20s
36.57% ( -0.79)	23.19% ( 0.18)	40.24% ( 0.61)

Both teams to score 64.51% (

-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.11% (

-0.99)

36.9% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.93% (

-1.08)

59.08% (

1.09)

Iraq Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.47% (

-0.82)

20.53% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.96% (

-1.32)

53.04% (

1.32)

England Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.17% (

-0.15)

18.83% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.73% (

-0.25)

50.27% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Iraq Under-20s 36.57%

England Under-20s 40.24%

Draw 23.19%

Iraq Under-20s	Draw	England Under-20s
2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.01% Total : 36.57%	1-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.19%	1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 4.75% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.55% Total : 40.24%