With both Israel and South Korea often cancelling out defensive shortcomings with at least one goal at the correct end of the field, Sunday's third-place playoff has all the makings of an extremely close affair, one which may not be settled in normal time. As already-fatigued legs begin to tire in extra time, penalties may very well be the outcome, and with South Korea suffering 12-yard heartache to Uzbekistan in the Asian Cup just three months ago, we give the edge to Israel from the spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea Under-20s win with a probability of 57.73%. A win for Israel Under-20s had a probability of 22.03% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea Under-20s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.33%) and 1-3 (6.95%). The likeliest Israel Under-20s win was 2-1 (5.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Israel Under-20s	Draw	South Korea Under-20s
22.03%	20.24%	57.73%

Both teams to score 64.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.74%

32.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.13%

53.87%

Israel Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.7%

27.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.26%

62.74%

South Korea Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.83%

11.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.35%

35.64%

Score Analysis

Israel Under-20s 22.03%

South Korea Under-20s 57.73%

Draw 20.24%

Israel Under-20s	Draw	South Korea Under-20s
2-1 @ 5.63% 1-0 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 2.67% 2-0 @ 2.57% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.65% Total : 22.03%	1-1 @ 8.68% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 3.05% 3-3 @ 1.95% Other @ 0.39% Total : 20.24%	1-2 @ 9.51% 0-2 @ 7.33% 1-3 @ 6.95% 0-1 @ 6.68% 0-3 @ 5.35% 2-3 @ 4.51% 1-4 @ 3.81% 0-4 @ 2.93% 2-4 @ 2.47% 1-5 @ 1.67% 0-5 @ 1.29% 2-5 @ 1.08% 3-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.07% Total : 57.73%