With Italy often failing to keep the back door shut in Argentina so far, South Korea should make the net ripple at least once on Thursday evening, but it will be a different story for the Asian starlets at the back. Indeed, the Casadei-inspired Azzurrini have showcased a penchant for attacking flair, and with South Korea far from consistent defensively over the past few weeks, Italy should punch their ticket to the final for the first time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-20s win with a probability of 52.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for South Korea Under-20s had a probability of 23.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-20s win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a South Korea Under-20s win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Italy Under-20s in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Italy Under-20s.

Result
Italy Under-20s	Draw	South Korea Under-20s
52.11%	24.34%	23.55%

Both teams to score 52.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.72%

49.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.67%

71.33%

Italy Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.11%

18.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.64%

50.36%

South Korea Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.54%

35.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.77%

72.23%

Score Analysis

Italy Under-20s 52.1%

South Korea Under-20s 23.55%

Draw 24.34%

Italy Under-20s	Draw	South Korea Under-20s
1-0 @ 11.16% 2-1 @ 9.65% 2-0 @ 9.3% 3-1 @ 5.36% 3-0 @ 5.17% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 2.23% 4-0 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.15% Total : 52.1%	1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 6.7% 2-2 @ 5% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.34%	0-1 @ 6.94% 1-2 @ 6% 0-2 @ 3.6% 1-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.97% Total : 23.55%