Belgium have demonstrated great character to claw themselves into the knockout rounds, but we think they will be unable to progress any further, when they came up against a Sweden side who have a habit of reaching European Championship semi-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 61.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Belgium Women had a probability of 16.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Belgium Women win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sweden Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sweden Women.

Result
Sweden Women	Draw	Belgium Women
61.28% ( -0.02)	22.23% ( 0.01)	16.49% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 47.73% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.23% (

-0.01)

49.77% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.22% (

-0.01)

71.77% (

Sweden Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.23% (

-0.01)

15.76% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.11% (

-0.02)

44.89% (

0.02)

Belgium Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.66% (

0.02)

43.34% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.42% (

0.01)

79.58% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Sweden Women 61.27%

Belgium Women 16.49%

Draw 22.23%

Sweden Women	Draw	Belgium Women
1-0 @ 12.62% 2-0 @ 11.65% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 7.18% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.16% 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 61.27%	1-1 @ 10.55% 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 22.23%	0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 1.61% Total : 16.49%