Women's World Cup | Group Stage

Jul 23, 2023 at 8.30am UK

Forsyth Barr Stadium at University Plaza

N'lands Women
1 - 0
Portugal Women

van der Gragt (13')
van de Donk (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

da Silva (56'), Gomes (84')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's World Cup clash between Netherlands Women and Portugal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands Women

All competitions

Last Game: France Women 1-0 N'lands Women
Saturday, July 23 at 8pm in Women's European Championship

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	USA Women	1	3	3
2	Netherlands Women	0	0	0
3	Portugal Women	0	0	0
4	Vietnam Women	1	-3	0

Portugal Women

All competitions

Last Game: Sweden Women 5-0 Portugal Women
Sunday, July 17 at 5pm in Women's European Championship

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	USA Women	1	3	3
2	Netherlands Women	0	0	0
3	Portugal Women	0	0	0
4	Vietnam Women	1	-3	0

We said: Netherlands Women 2-1 Portugal Women

Despite losing just one of their last 12 games, Portugal will go into Sunday's contest as the underdogs, and we think that they will come up just short against the Netherlands. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands Women win with a probability of 72.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Portugal Women had a probability of 11.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Portugal Women win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands Women would win this match.

Result
Netherlands Women	Draw	Portugal Women
72.78% ( 0.5)	16.1% ( -0.21)	11.11% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 53.86% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.89% (

0.22)

34.11% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.01% (

0.25)

55.99% (

-0.25)

Netherlands Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.87% (

0.16)

8.13% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.48% (

0.41)

28.52% (

-0.4)

Portugal Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.63% (

-0.34)

41.37% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.11% (

-0.31)

77.88% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Netherlands Women 72.78%

Portugal Women 11.11%

Draw 16.1%

Netherlands Women	Draw	Portugal Women
2-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.1% Total : 72.78%	1-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.1%	1-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.37% Total : 11.11%