World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round

Jun 7, 2024 at 3.30am UK

Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica

Costa Rica
4 - 0
Saint Kitts

Galo (40', 49'), Alcocer (82'), Rojas (84')
Brenes (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sterling-James (26'), Ible (45+4'), Maynard (63')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Costa Rica and Saint Kitts and Nevis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Costa Rica

All competitions

Last Game: Costa Rica 0-0 Uruguay
Saturday, June 1 at 3am in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	0	0	0
2	Colombia	0	0	0
3	Costa Rica	0	0	0
4	Paraguay	0	0	0

Saint Kitts and Nevis

All competitions

Last Game: San Marino 0-0 Saint Kitts
Sunday, March 24 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current League B Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saint Kitts and Nevis	0	0	0
2	Saint Lucia	0	0	0
3	Guadeloupe	0	0	0
4	Sint Maarten	0	0	0

We said: Costa Rica 4-0 Saint Kitts and Nevis

Although the Costa Ricans do not have as much experience this time around, they have more than enough talent to comfortably triumph in this encounter. Saint Kitts have never beaten a Central American side this century, and we believe they still have some growing pains to experience before becoming a consistently competitive CONCACAF nation. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 53.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 22.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Costa Rica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Costa Rica.

Result
Costa Rica	Draw	Saint Kitts and Nevis
53.23% ( 0.25)	23.91% ( -0.01)	22.85% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 52.87% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.81% (

-0.2)

48.18% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.66% (

-0.18)

70.34% (

0.18)

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.96% (

0.02)

18.04% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.06% (

0.03)

48.93% (

-0.03)

Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.5% (

-0.33)

35.49% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.74% (

-0.34)

72.26% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Costa Rica 53.23%

Saint Kitts and Nevis 22.86%

Draw 23.9%

Costa Rica	Draw	Saint Kitts and Nevis
1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.46% Total : 53.23%	1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.9%	0-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.95% Total : 22.86%