Australian A-League | Gameweek 19

Mar 3, 2023 at 8.45am UK

Coopers Stadium

Adelaide United
4 - 2
Melbourne City

Barr (45+3'), Goodwin (50'), D'Arrigo (57'), Irankunda (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Nabbout (9'), Tilio (62')
Nabbout (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 1-1 Adelaide United
Sunday, February 26 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 3-2 Sydney FC
Saturday, February 25 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Adelaide United 2-2 Melbourne City

Melbourne City's games have been rather frantic lately, and their defensive issues could open up opportunities for Adelaide United this time around. The hosts were able to take a point from the Hearts the last time they met, and with their recent run of results, it would not be a shock to see them do it again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 53.77%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Melbourne City
23.95% ( 0.34)	22.27% ( 0.23)	53.77% ( -0.57)

Both teams to score 59.69% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.23% (

-0.73)

39.77% (

0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.87% (

-0.76)

62.13% (

0.77)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.08% (

-0.12)

29.92% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.97% (

-0.15)

66.02% (

0.15)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.18% (

-0.44)

14.82% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.89% (

-0.84)

43.11% (

0.84)

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 23.95%

Melbourne City 53.77%

Draw 22.27%

Adelaide United	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.07% Total : 23.95%	1-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.27%	1-2 @ 9.75% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 5.14% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.96% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.11% Total : 53.77%