Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
42.04% ( -0.57) | 23.69% ( 0.06) | 34.27% ( 0.51) |
Both teams to score 62.12% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.19% ( -0.15) | 39.8% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.84% ( -0.15) | 62.16% ( 0.16) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.74% ( -0.31) | 19.26% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.01% ( -0.51) | 50.98% ( 0.51) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.94% ( 0.21) | 23.05% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.12% ( 0.31) | 56.88% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.32% Total : 42.04% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.48% 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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