Australian A-League | Gameweek 4

Nov 10, 2023 at 8.45am UK

Marvel Stadium

Victory
1 - 1
Wellington

Teague (14')
Geria (83')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Da Silva (41' og.)
Pennington (8'), Surman (18'), Kelly-Heald (45+4'), Payne (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 1-1 Adelaide United
Saturday, November 4 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 5-2 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, November 4 at 4.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 53.73%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
53.73% ( -0)	22.76% ( 0)	23.51% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57.45% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.52% (

-0)

42.48% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.11% (

-0)

64.89% (

0.01)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.21% (

-0)

15.78% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.08% (

-0)

44.92% (

0.01)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.22% (

31.78% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.79% (

68.2%

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 53.73%

Wellington Phoenix 23.51%

Draw 22.75%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.8% 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.55% 3-1 @ 6.03% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.6% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.54% Total : 53.73%	1-1 @ 10.61% 2-2 @ 5.62% 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.75%	1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 23.51%