Australian A-League | Gameweek 9

Dec 26, 2022 at 7am UK

Whitten Oval

Western Utd
1 - 0
Victory

Risdon (45+1')
Doumbia (15'), Risdon (79')
Topor-Stanley (32')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Marchan (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Australian A-League clash between Western United and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Western Sydney
Sunday, December 18 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 0-0 Victory
Saturday, December 17 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Western United 1-1 Melbourne Victory

After stumbling into the new campaign, Western United appear to have hit their stride in recent weeks and will head into Monday looking to make it three wins from four matches. However, Melbourne Victory have been defensively resolute this season and we predict that they will cancel out the efforts of the hosts to hold out for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-0 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Western United	Draw	Melbourne Victory
28.67% ( -0.33)	24.89% ( 0.32)	46.44% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.22% (

-1.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.32% (

-1.57)

47.68% (

1.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.12% (

-1.46)

69.88% (

1.47)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.53% (

-1.04)

30.47% (

1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.32% (

-1.25)

66.68% (

1.25)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.41% (

-0.63)

20.58% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.88% (

-1.01)

53.12% (

1.01)

Score Analysis

Western United 28.67%

Melbourne Victory 46.44%

Draw 24.89%

Western United	Draw	Melbourne Victory
1-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 7% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.07% Total : 28.67%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.89%	0-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.44%