Australian A-League | Gameweek 8

Dec 18, 2022 at 4am UK

Whitten Oval

Western Utd
1 - 0
Western Sydney

Prijovic (5')
Imai (55'), Milanovic (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mrcela (33'), Cleur (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Western United and Western Sydney Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 2-1 Western Utd
Saturday, December 10 at 11.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 1-1 Western Sydney
Saturday, December 10 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Western United 1-1 Western Sydney Wanderers

Sydney seem to be on the right track, but the season is still relatively early, plus, they have not shown much quality in the attacking third to date. We expect the club from Melbourne, who have been better in recent outings, to dictate the play and have their share of possession, but still leaving plenty of gaps which the visitors could expose. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.

Result
Western United	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
39.05% ( -0.45)	24.33% ( -0.22)	36.62% ( 0.68)

Both teams to score 60.17% (

0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.46% (

1.1)

42.54% (

-1.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.06% (

1.09)

64.94% (

-1.09)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.19% (

0.26)

21.81% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.97% (

0.39)

55.03% (

-0.39)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.95% (

0.87)

23.05% (

-0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.13% (

1.26)

56.87% (

-1.25)

Score Analysis

Western United 39.05%

Western Sydney Wanderers 36.62%

Draw 24.33%

Western United	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 39.05%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.33%	1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.26% Total : 36.62%