Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9

Jul 19, 2022 at 11pm UK

Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro

Tucuman
1 - 0
Sarmiento

Maestro Puch (86')
Pereyra (61'), Acosta (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Guanini (5'), Paradela (56'), Arismendi (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Atletico Tucuman and Sarmiento, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Atletico Tucuman 2-1 Sarmiento

Atletico Tucuman boast the better squad on paper, and while that does not always translate to victory on the pitch, we are tipping them to get the job done in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 53.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 19.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Tucuman in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Tucuman.

Result
Atletico Tucuman	Draw	Sarmiento
53.08% ( 0.02)	26.93% ( 0.11)	19.98% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 40.94% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38% (

-0.47)

62% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.26% (

-0.35)

81.73% (

0.35)

Atletico Tucuman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.34% (

-0.2)

23.66% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.24% (

-0.28)

57.76% (

0.28)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.63% (

-0.43)

46.36% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.99% (

-0.33)

82% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Atletico Tucuman 53.08%

Sarmiento 19.98%

Draw 26.92%

Atletico Tucuman	Draw	Sarmiento
1-0 @ 15.81% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.32% Total : 53.08%	1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.44% Total : 26.92%	0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.44% Total : 19.98%