Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 13

Nov 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors
1 - 0
Newell's OB

Merentiel (90' pen.)
Anselmino (4'), Fernandez (10')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vangioni (25'), Glavinovich (51'), Sforza (65'), Balzi (88'), Velazquez (90+2'), Gomez (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Newell's Old Boys.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Boca Juniors
Wednesday, November 8 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newell's Old Boys

All competitions

Last Game: Newell's OB 0-1 Sarmiento
Monday, November 6 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match.

Result
Boca Juniors	Draw	Newell's Old Boys
38.02% ( -0.31)	29.11% ( -0.03)	32.87% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 44.32% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.61% (

0.15)

62.38% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.98% (

0.11)

82.02% (

-0.11)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.3% (

-0.12)

31.69% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.88% (

-0.13)

68.11% (

0.13)

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.89% (

0.32)

35.11% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.14% (

0.34)

71.85% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Boca Juniors 38.01%

Newell's Old Boys 32.86%

Draw 29.11%

Boca Juniors	Draw	Newell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 12.78% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 38.01%	1-1 @ 13.38% 0-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.11%	0-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.14% Total : 32.86%