Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8

Mar 19, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
2 - 1
Estudiantes

Lescano (56'), Tarragona (86' pen.)
Sanchez (54'), Miramon (61'), Ramirez (84'), Tarragona (87'), Barros Schelotto (90')
Ariel Romero (30')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Boselli (4')
Ascacibar (22'), Rollheiser (58'), Godoy (77'), Mas (90+5'), Godoy (90+1'), Mendez (90+4'), Zuqui (90+7')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Estudiantes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gimnasia

All competitions

Last Game: San Lorenzo 4-0 Gimnasia
Saturday, March 11 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Estudiantes

All competitions

Last Game: Estudiantes 2-1 Huracan
Sunday, March 12 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.

Result
Gimnasia	Draw	Estudiantes
40.15% ( 0.07)	28.9% ( -0.06)	30.95% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 44.43% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.97% (

0.2)

62.03% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.24% (

0.14)

81.76% (

-0.14)

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.77% (

0.14)

30.24% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.6% (

0.16)

66.4% (

-0.16)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.68% (

0.1)

36.32% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.9% (

0.1)

73.11% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Gimnasia 40.15%

Estudiantes 30.95%

Draw 28.9%

Gimnasia	Draw	Estudiantes
1-0 @ 13.13% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.86% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.4% Total : 40.15%	1-1 @ 13.3% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.9%	0-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 30.95%