Sarmiento

2 - 0

Tigre

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.