Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 28

Apr 3, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
3 - 0
Wolfsburg

Iago (1'), Niederlechner (63'), Pedersen (69')
Dorsch (3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Greuther Furth
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: BW Lohne vs. Augsburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	VfL Bochum	34	-14	42
14	Augsburg	34	-17	38
15	Stuttgart	34	-18	33

Wolfsburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Carl Zeiss vs. Wolfsburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	-4	42
12	Wolfsburg	34	-11	42
13	VfL Bochum	34	-14	42

We said: Augsburg 1-2 Wolfsburg

In a true six-pointer, we expect a cagey affair that could go either way. Ultimately, the visitors have a squad more than capable of moving well clear of the relegation scrap, and we back them to get over the line with a hard-fought win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Wolfsburg
39.45%	25.5%	35.05%

Both teams to score 55.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.92%

48.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.75%

70.25%

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.94%

24.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.66%

58.34%

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.5%

26.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.31%

61.69%

Score Analysis

Augsburg 39.45%

Wolfsburg 35.05%

Draw 25.5%

Augsburg	Draw	Wolfsburg
1-0 @ 9.08% 2-1 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 6.47% 3-1 @ 4.08% 3-0 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.09% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.94% Total : 39.45%	1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.38% 2-2 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 8.47% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 5.62% 1-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.21% Total : 35.05%