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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Mainz 05 |
52.44% | 22.74% | 24.82% |
Both teams to score 59.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.95% | 41.05% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.56% | 63.44% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.28% | 15.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.2% | 44.8% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.09% | 29.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.99% | 66.01% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 9.71% 1-0 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 8.05% 3-1 @ 5.99% 3-0 @ 4.96% 3-2 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 2.77% 4-0 @ 2.3% 4-2 @ 1.67% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.63% Total : 52.44% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 4.7% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.74% | 1-2 @ 6.34% 0-1 @ 5.67% 0-2 @ 3.42% 1-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.1% Total : 24.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |