Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 20

Feb 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
3 - 0
VfL Bochum

Muller (41'), Coman (64'), Gnabry (73' pen.)
Nagelsmann (43'), Tel (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ordets (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-4 Bayern
Sunday, February 5 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-2 Dortmund
Wednesday, February 8 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bayern Munich 3-0 VfL Bochum

Although Bochum have undoubtedly hugely improved under Letsch's management, their away form has remained poor. Bayern should be confident of earning a comfortable victory here. Nagelsmann will be keen for his players to secure an early healthy lead, with the 35-year-old likely to have one eye on taking their foot off the gas ahead of his side's forthcoming European tie against PSG on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 89.52%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 3.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.17%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (1.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Bayern Munich in this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	VfL Bochum
89.52% ( 0.04)	7.13% ( -0.03)	3.35% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 48.96% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

81.5% (

0.04)

18.5% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

64.07% (

0.06)

35.92% (

-0.06)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.54% (

0.01)

2.46% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

88.42% (

0.04)

11.58% (

-0.04)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.19% (

-0.04)

49.81% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.47% (

-0.03)

84.52% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 89.51%

VfL Bochum 3.35%

Draw 7.13%

Bayern Munich	Draw	VfL Bochum
3-0 @ 10.38% 4-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 6.71% 2-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 4.97% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.34% ( -0) 7-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.73% ( -0) 7-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 8-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 6-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 4.5% Total : 89.51%	1-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 7.13%	1-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 3.35%