DFB-Pokal | Round of 16

Feb 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Vonovia Ruhrstadion

VfL Bochum
1 - 2
Dortmund

Stoger (64' pen.)
Janko (39'), Stoger (44'), Antwi-Adjej (75'), Riemann (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Can (45+1'), Reus (70')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between VfL Bochum and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: VfL Bochum 5-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: Dortmund 5-1 Freiburg
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: VfL Bochum 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

Bochum's imperious home form since appointing Letsch should see them be highly competitive in this match, especially if Terzic decides to heavily rotate ahead of important league and European fixtures. However, Dortmund will want to maintain their excellent record in the DFB-Pokal from recent seasons, especially as it represents their best chance of winning a trophy this season despite their excellent form of late suggesting that higher ambitions may be realistic. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 51.3%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.33%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.

Result
VfL Bochum	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
28.01% ( 0.18)	20.69% ( -0.03)	51.3% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 69.93% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.8% (

0.27)

28.19% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.02% (

0.34)

48.98% (

-0.34)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.09% (

0.25)

20.91% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.36% (

0.38)

53.63% (

-0.39)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.42% (

0.05)

11.58% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.45% (

0.11)

36.54% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

VfL Bochum 28.01%

Borussia Dortmund 51.3%

Draw 20.69%

VfL Bochum	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 2.97% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 28.01%	1-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.63% Total : 20.69%	1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 4.95% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 3.41% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.67% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.47% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 2-5 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.11% Total : 51.3%