Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 18

Jan 29, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
0 - 2
Dortmund

Tapsoba (28'), Wirtz (60')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Adeyemi (33'), Tapsoba (53' og.)
Adeyemi (34'), Ozcan (60'), Modeste (84'), Ryerson (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 VfL Bochum
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Mainz 1-2 Dortmund
Wednesday, January 25 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 Borussia Dortmund

This match is undoubtedly the headline fixture of the weekend as far as the Bundesliga is concerned, and it should be a highly entertaining encounter with both teams preferring to play on the front foot. Leverkusen will be determined to maintain their winning run as they look to close the gap on the Champions League qualification places, but we can envisage a share of the spoils on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 38.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.29%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
38.38% ( 1.23)	23.52% ( 0.02)	38.09% ( -1.24)

Both teams to score 63.32% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.52% (

-0.04)

38.48% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.22% (

-0.05)

60.77% (

0.05)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.64% (

0.57)

20.36% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.24% (

0.9)

52.76% (

-0.9)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.5% (

-0.6)

20.5% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.01% (

-0.96)

52.98% (

0.96)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 38.38%

Borussia Dortmund 38.09%

Draw 23.52%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.02% Total : 38.38%	1-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.64% 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.52%	1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.98% Total : 38.09%