Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 12

Oct 29, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
2 - 0
B. Leverkusen

Nkunku (32'), Werner (83')
Kampl (35'), Diallo (76'), Henrichs (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tapsoba (26'), Hincapie (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-2 Real Madrid
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Atletico 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: RB Leipzig 3-2 Bayer Leverkusen

Both teams are far more proficient offensively than they are defensively, so we can envisage an entertaining match in Leipzig on Saturday. The hosts have been in excellent form of late and it would be a surprise if Leverkusen were to end their unbeaten run considering Alonso's side's struggles this season. We predict a home win with both teams to score. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.6%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 16.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 1-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Bayer Leverkusen win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
64.6% ( 0.31)	19.11% ( -0.11)	16.28% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 57.77% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.75% (

0.11)

36.25% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.63% (

0.12)

58.37% (

-0.12)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.41% (

0.11)

10.58% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.64% (

0.25)

34.35% (

-0.25)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.62% (

-0.18)

35.38% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.86% (

-0.18)

72.14% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 64.6%

Bayer Leverkusen 16.28%

Draw 19.11%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.87% Total : 64.6%	1-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 19.11%	1-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.49% Total : 16.28%