Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 6

Sep 10, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
3 - 0
Dortmund

Orban (6'), Szoboszlai (45'), Haidara (84')
Laimer (75'), Raum (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Meunier (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

Last Six:

Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-4 Shakhtar
Tuesday, September 6 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Augsburg	6	-6	6
12	RB Leipzig	5	-3	5
13	Stuttgart	5	-1	4

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:

Last Game: Dortmund 3-0 Copenhagen
Tuesday, September 6 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Freiburg	5	5	12
2	Borussia Dortmund	5	4	12
3	Bayern Munich	5	14	11

We said: RB Leipzig 2-2 Borussia Dortmund

Dortmund's injuries could make this match closer than expected, especially with Leipzig's players likely to be keen to impress their new manager. We can envisage goals and a potential share of the spoils, with there likely to be an extra edge in the match given Terzic's and Rose's history together at Dortmund. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 47.4%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
29.46% ( 0)	23.14% ( 0.01)	47.4% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 61.82% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.76% (

-0.02)

39.23% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.43% (

-0.02)

61.56% (

0.03)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.35% (

-0.01)

25.64% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.46% (

-0.01)

60.54% (

0.01)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.13% (

-0.01)

16.86% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.12% (

-0.02)

46.88% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 29.46%

Borussia Dortmund 47.4%

Draw 23.13%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 29.46%	1-1 @ 10.47% 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.13%	1-2 @ 9.32% 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.85% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.53% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.46% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 4.22% Total : 47.4%