Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 3

Aug 20, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin
2 - 1
RB Leipzig

Siebatcheu (32'), Becker (38')
Ronnow (49'), Behrens (65')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Orban (83')
Kampl (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

Last Six:

Last Game: Mainz 05 0-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, August 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	FC Koln	2	2	4
5	Union Berlin	2	2	4
6	Mainz 05	2	1	4

RB Leipzig

Last Six:

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-2 FC Koln
Saturday, August 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Werder Bremen	2	0	2
11	RB Leipzig	2	0	2
12	Stuttgart	2	0	2

We said: Union Berlin 1-1 RB Leipzig

It is hard to split these two teams, with Leipzig obviously possessing superior individual quality, but Union Berlin's counter-attacking style is likely to hurt them. As such, it would be no surprise to see Leipzig draw a third successive match, with both teams probably content enough with that potential outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 52.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-0 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	RB Leipzig
22.51% ( -0.05)	25.14% ( 0.2)	52.35% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 48.74% (

-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.56% (

-0.82)

53.44% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.03% (

-0.7)

74.97% (

0.69)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.24% (

-0.51)

38.76% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.5% (

-0.48)

75.49% (

0.48)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.59% (

-0.39)

20.41% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.15% (

-0.62)

52.85% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 22.51%

RB Leipzig 52.35%

Draw 25.13%

Union Berlin	Draw	RB Leipzig
1-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.49% Total : 22.51%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 9.99% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 5.29% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 52.35%