Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 31

Apr 23, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
1 - 2
Union Berlin

Poulsen (46')
Olmo (87'), Adams (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Michel (86'), Behrens (89')
Behrens (90+1'), Ronnow (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

Last Six:

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal

Next Game: Teutonia Hamburg vs. RB Leipzig
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Bayer Leverkusen	34	33	64
4	RB Leipzig	34	35	58
5	Union Berlin	34	6	57

Union Berlin

Last Six:

Last Game: Union Berlin 3-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Chemnitzer vs. Union Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	RB Leipzig	34	35	58
5	Union Berlin	34	6	57
6	Freiburg	34	12	55

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 Union Berlin

As was the case in midweek, we can see Leipzig coming out on top here against a visiting Union side that lacks the same quality and intensity when playing on the road. The late winner on Wednesday is sure to give the hosts a huge psychological advantage over their opponents too, and with the excellent form that they find themselves in during 2022, it is difficult to see many being able to stop them extending their unbeaten run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 69.38%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 12.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Union Berlin
69.38%	18.07%	12.55%

Both teams to score 51.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.21%

39.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.85%

62.15%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.63%

10.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.13%

33.87%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.22%

42.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.9%

79.11%

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 69.37%

Union Berlin 12.55%

Draw 18.07%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Union Berlin
2-0 @ 11.39% 1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 7.31% 4-0 @ 4.88% 4-1 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 3.1% 5-0 @ 2.21% 5-1 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.76% Other @ 4.38% Total : 69.37%	1-1 @ 8.54% 0-0 @ 4.44% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.99% Total : 18.07%	0-1 @ 3.77% 1-2 @ 3.62% 0-2 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.16% 1-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.37% Total : 12.55%